I proposed to bet at 3 ot 1 odds that none of the current rebuplican candidates will win this US presidential election. The Lord is willing to take the bet(edit: forget about it, apparently he is 10)
I was thinking of starting a series of bets through the whole election process. I'm setting my bankroll at 150$, i don't know how much i'll invest in the first bet yet, it'll depend if other people are proposing bets that i'd be interested in. So if you want to propose a bet, do it in this thread and i'll update the post to reference it. I only accect bets from adults (18+ yo)
Anyway, we need someone to arbitrate the bets. This third party should be trusted by both participants of the bet of course, and wecan use this thread to set it up. I'll look at some options on how this could be organized, but for now the best thing we could come up with the Lord and I is to trust someone with enough recognition in the warlight community, like Fizzer, Mercer, Szeweningen, Master of Disaster, Lolowut.
I can serve as a third party to arbitrate bets i don't take part in if they need it and trust me enough with it.
If anyone listed above, or anynone that feels is well recognized and trusted in the WL community is willing to arbitrate my bet with the Lord, please say it here or/and PM us.
If other people wants to take the 3 to 1 bet i proposed, you can also say it here, i'll adjust the stakes depending on how many people wants to take the bet. (my maximum bankroll for this election being 150$)
Place your bets people! http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2016/winner
(the odds i'm giving are insane, but i'm confident this is still a +EV bet for me)Bets
-> None of the current republican candidtates will win the 2016 US presidential election
-> odds: 3 to 1
->Bernie Sanders will be the next president of the USA
->odds: 1 to 4
Edited 2/1/2016 02:30:37