I will bet 100 on:

Cruz wins Iowa
Trump Wins New Hampshire
Kasich gets VP

too late to bet on iowa, unless you find someone to take the bet...

if you want to propose a bet, you have to give the odds and the exact proposal

50.7 - 48.7 Clinton's lead collapsing

Seems like Rubio made a late push at the expense of Trump - he has 21% right now. Maybe Cruz will have the best luck tonight. He must be praying for a big Rubio push.

i don't think Cruz wants a Rubio surge at all, he wants to be alone with Trump, that's his best chance at winning

Edited 2/2/2016 02:43:53

He needs the win...that's paramount for Cruz. And he'll take that win even if it comes at the expense of being in a 3 way race with Rubio and Trump.

Edited 2/2/2016 02:45:45

you must feel good about your bets right now :)

Who gives a shit about the bets. I'll be happy as long as I can wake up tomorrow with the headlines "Trump loses Iowa" hahaha

Edited 2/2/2016 02:50:01

haha its better for the democrats that Trump wins i think, but Cruz is fine too, he has no chance. Rubio might be more dangerous. But i wonder how Trump is going to take the blow if he loses

I can't believe I'm saying this, but I would rather the GOP lose with Cruz than win with Trump.

Anyway you know Trump. Tomorrow he'll come out calling the Iowa voters stupid and ugly. Then he'll say he doesn't care. Then he'll call Cruz an evil devil. And then everyone in the Establishment will be laughing their asses off.

^^Well that's more my dream than reality.

1.1% between Bernie and Hillary, not quite the win i was hoping for, but still a good-ish night for Bernie I think.

He really won either way when you think about it. I mean 4-5 months ago he was behind at least 20% and now he's shaved that to 1.1%. I mean that's amazing when you consider that Bernie is a self-proclaimed democratic-socialist and many people (even democrats) have a natural aversion to anybody that far to the left. He's changed the shape of the Democratic party ideologically...so he still won.

Holy crap! Trump is second in all the age groups *except* for 65+. I thought he'd be more popular with the younger demographic. Also, you'd kinda figure that the 'old guard' would go more 'establishment' than the 'young uns'. Isn't Trump the least 'establishment' of the GOP candidates? Crazy crazy.

Rubio definitely stole blue collar votes from Trump. Look at the Des Moine county polls...Trump was supposed to win that since its populated by a lot of younger voters. Instead he's polling 3rd!!!


Cruz has emerged as the most anti-establishment. He won Iowa even though the 6 term sitting governor of Iowa (the longest serving Governor in american history) and a Republican said people shouldn't vote for him.

Edited 2/2/2016 03:27:58

From the NBC link:

On most political matters, do you consider yourself:
Very conservative 40%
Cruz 43%
Trump 21%
Rubio 15%
...
Somewhat conservative 45%
Rubio 28%
Trump 25%
Cruz 19%
...
Moderate 14%
Trump 35%
Rubio 26%
Cruz 9%
...

So that's the name of the game. Cruz represents the far-right loons, and Trump is surprisingly the 'moderate'! lol Poor Rubio's stuck in the middle.

Sad to see the party is still so far-right that Cruz is actually leading.

Well, if Rubio drops out, it's all over for Cruz, though. Most of the Rubios would become Trumps.

I'm putting $500 on a republican winning at 2 to 1 if anyone want to take it (not with real money or anything)

Cruz represents the far-right loons

I take offense to this lol. I wouldn't consider myself a "loon".

But I would consider Sander's supports far-left loons :D

i think there is a very good chance that Trump will actually collapse and it'll be Cruz vs Rubio. Rubio won big tonight

edit: 0.4% between Sanders and Clinton

Edited 2/2/2016 03:43:51