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Picks Analysis: 2/19/2012 05:21:06

zaeban 
Level 56
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put 4 in Jiangxi
put 1 in Tibet
attack Beijing with 3
attack Shanghai with 4
attack Hong Kong with 3
attack India with 4
with little luck you would be able to take both bonuses after second turn.
game over!
Picks Analysis: 2/19/2012 08:48:35


[WM] Dazed & Insane 
Level 50
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1. Arctic
2. Scandinavia
3. E China
4. India
5. Russia
6. W China
Picks Analysis: 2/19/2012 08:54:55


[WM] Dazed & Insane 
Level 50
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Make your move in our seasonal Zaeban >:)
Picks Analysis: 2/19/2012 11:20:05


szeweningen 
Level 60
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Zaeban, I am sorry but I can only describe your game plan as wishful thinking. First of all you have less than 1/4 chance of taking both bonuses in 2nd turn, while I have over 40%. Even in the worst case scenario (and it is really improbable that you take 12 income while I miss 11) I really don't see how is it game over since we would be 12-11 when you have no access to my bonuses. You could only expand to indonesia, while I could do the same with greenland. Also you'd be under constant pressure from the threat of me taking russia and pushing china through mongolia or xinjiang...
Picks Analysis: 2/19/2012 22:19:36

zaeban 
Level 56
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"You could only expand to indonesia"

I will expand in Central Russia
Picks Analysis: 2/19/2012 22:29:00


szeweningen 
Level 60
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So basically your strategy is based on the assumption that I let you in central russia and get myself eliminated from there? That means you automatically would assume your opponent plays bad...
Picks Analysis: 2/19/2012 22:31:12


szeweningen 
Level 60
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My point is I'd have an easier access to your bonuses than you would have to mine. That is always the drawback of picking triple cluster.
Picks Analysis: 2/19/2012 23:00:15

zaeban 
Level 56
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Actually according to my plan you have no access to my bonuses
Picks Analysis: 2/19/2012 23:06:58


szeweningen 
Level 60
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How can you hold both mongolia and Xinjinang effectively? I don't seem to understand your plan...
Picks Analysis: 2/19/2012 23:18:27

zaeban 
Level 56
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The Question is: how can you keep central russia safe from me taking it and go in touch with my bonuses at the same time?
Picks Analysis: 2/19/2012 23:22:53


szeweningen 
Level 60
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When we clash in Tomsk/Xinjiang we'll have 11/12 with you having max 1-2 troops more on the border and with me having russia unfinished (2 neutrals left). You would definitely not be able to break by force through Tomsk and I could (deooending on your troop count) either prepare russia to be taken, or (what is more probable) wait for order priority card, blockade russia and hit mongolia hard while taking greenland...
Picks Analysis: 2/19/2012 23:23:41


szeweningen 
Level 60
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I really don't understand how do you want to take my bonus with 1 income advantage and huge defensive commitment.
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