I'm ranked about 1700 in the ladder and it seems like I beat 1/2 of players in the 1800s, but lose to half in the 1400s. I'm not sure what is going on there.
Trouble is sometimes against noobs you cannot predict them. He tripled and HHH had to search for him, plus lost a 3v2 for SA. That guy didi not even play well. Never blocked sval or another place to secure his income. But he had surprise on his side