Clan League 8: Pronostic championships: 5/31/2016 21:04:36 |
Onoma94
Level 61
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But your predicted demise is ill founded. TBH it's hard to put any clan in A into relegation spot - all of them are so strong it's almost unreal. WG and Lynx just happened to have worse score than any other non-relegating clan in A. :P I will be surprised if winrates in Div A will be apart by more than 25%.
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Clan League 8: Pronostic championships: 5/31/2016 21:35:39 |
knyte
Level 55
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@Expanse: A weaker CORP roster managed to do really well in 1v1 in CL7 D1. That's been largely replaced by a new, stronger generation, and CORP's heavy-hitters now were largely not part of the clan during CL7.
Here's CORP's CL7 roster:
1v1 Strat ME WR: mm3100 (5-1, 1st place), > Illuminati, > M'H Battle Islands: mm3100 (5-1, 2nd place), < Illuminati, > M'H Greece: BigMeck (4-2, 3rd place), < Illuminati, > M'H Guiroma: Derkie (4-2, 2nd place), > Illuminati, > M'H Strat ME SR: siirial (4-2, 3rd place), > Illuminati, < M'H Turkey: orionaux (2-4, 5th place), < Illuminati, < M'H
2v2 Strat ME: Elroi/mm3100 (2-4, 5th place), > Illuminati, < M'H Guiroma: Chancho/Ox (5-1, 1st place), > Illuminati, > M'H Szeurope: Arjan Visser/Konrad Kulgajuk: (2-4, 5th place), < Illuminati, < M'H
3v3 EU WR: Konrad/Noobster/Shots (4-2, 3rd place), < Illuminati, < M'H EU SR: oljo/Spike/yoda (3-3, 3rd place), < Illuminati, > M'H
Strong on 1v1, weak on 2v2 outside Guiroma, mediocre on 3v3
Now compare that to their CL8 roster (using * to denote a player not in their CL7 roster):
1v1 Strat ME SR: Quicksand* Guiroma: Ink Splatoon* Greece: BigMeck Battle Islands: Smutny Edgar* French Brawl: Thanatos D. Ven* Treasure Map: Angry Koala*
2v2 Final Earth: Smutny*/Fareck* China: Thanathos D. Ven*/psykkoman* Strat ME SR: Thanathos D. Ven*/The Shots
3v3 EU SR: Noobster/The Shots/orionaux Great Lakes: Angry Koala*/The Shots/orionaux
You see an already strong CORP 1v1 side get replaced by a stronger side (although they've also lost mm/Chancho, who'd likely still make at least 1 appearance each on here). They've likely put in a lot more practice into 2v2 and 3v3 and will be less mediocre there, and they've put in stronger players for their team slots. Their weaker players have also developed considerably.
This isn't unique to CORP- M'Hunters' lineup is at least as different, if not more, from M'Hunters' CL7 lineup. Hydra seems to be less changed here, though- lineup doesn't vary as dramatically from the AWF/Illuminati lineups from CL7 D1/D2.
Imho, it's going to come down to whether CORP's big shoves will get them past M'Hunters' improved roster. Either side could be argued with the limited info Tjoex probably has, since M'Hunters and CORP are both wildcards and it's hard to predict whether they'll be fighting for the top spot vs. VS or fighting for the 2nd promotion spot vs. Hydra.
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Clan League 8: Pronostic championships: 5/31/2016 21:45:06 |
knyte
Level 55
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I have a feeling people are not really looking a matchups. Too tough to do for all leagues at once. Much easier if we take it 1 league at a time.
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Clan League 8: Pronostic championships: 5/31/2016 22:31:28 |
Sugoi - すごい
Level 57
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Some might be homerism, but Latnox went 6-0 and Mike 5-1 on solo games from GG Yes its true that GG won't have both Latnox and Mike this season, but you didn't account all the new talent that GG has brought into their clan. And also looking at last season, people should realize that you shouldn't underestimate French. However League A is really hard to decide, I'll give you that.
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Clan League 8: Pronostic championships: 5/31/2016 22:34:13 |
ChrisCMU
Level 61
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Well, the point is to be bold. I did not predict french surge last season either, and did not predict WM collapes before that. something odd always happens, why not be bold? Here is my matchup predictor (you can copy the sheet and use it and change to any division): https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1B-ywmwV_V5BEhx_Qx_jP9aGa2kmSPEKFwNGIpi9YUgM/edit?usp=sharing
Edited 5/31/2016 22:40:39
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Clan League 8: Pronostic championships: 5/31/2016 22:42:50 |
knyte
Level 55
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@ChrisCMU: Agreed. I've used the Clan League sheet for predictions in the past. Just too time-consuming to do it for this little contest since we're talking about 5 division with 6-7 clans (36-126 players) each.
Not sure why you made a new sheet for predictions when you could just as easily use a copy of the main sheet.
Edited 5/31/2016 22:43:57
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Clan League 8: Pronostic championships: 5/31/2016 23:19:35 |
Peixoto
Level 63
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Sorry Chris, but I don't see WG doing well this clan league, and you're giving too much credit for gui in the french clan, he wasn't even their best player last season... anyway I believe the fight for 5-7 is between lynx turtles and WG, however I'm with ZBD and lynx will dodge the relegation, that leaves us with turtles and WG, turtles have a good lineup for 1v1s and 2v2s capable of doing well in all of them, but unlikely to win any tournament. Their 3v3 lineup is a lot weaker which will drop them a lot of points. And we have WG which imo, won't perform aswell as turtles in 1v1s and 2v2s but will outperform in 3v3s, but it still won't be enough to avoid that last place.
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Clan League 8: Pronostic championships: 6/1/2016 02:52:53 |
Trixie Lulamoon
Level 55
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Sadly AOE shall not have Lisa participating in Clan League
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Clan League 8: Pronostic championships: 6/1/2016 04:19:05 |
13CHRIS37
Level 60
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Thanks ChrisCMU for the match up generator. I have this for Group A
Apex 164 Master 139 WG 132 Turtles 117 French 105 Lynx 98 GG 95
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Clan League 8: Pronostic championships: 6/1/2016 06:58:04 |
Arkanton
Level 63
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interesting, using Chris spreadsheet I have to change my vote. Also I get that none clan will have more than 150 pts and less than 100. I save it and check during CL
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Clan League 8: Pronostic championships: 6/1/2016 07:58:54 |
TeamGuns
Level 59
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A division
1) Masters 2) Apex 3) French 4) Lynx 5) GG 6) Turtles 7) WG
B division
1) ONE! 2) 101st 3) Blitz 4) Sninja 5) VIW 6) REGL 7) Stahl
C division
1) M'H 2) Corp 3) Hydra 4) VS 5) Yin Yang 6) BIA 7) LEA
Btw, I understand people that put us on 3rd, but seriously. Predicting that we'll go 5th or that VIW will win this is kindda crazy lol... People often forget that one good player can't win a division by itself, unfortunatly for VIW, AG can't play more than 3 tournaments. 101st can well up end 3rd, but I doubt we can go lower than that, if we have no star, our strengh is that we have no weak player in our roster either. From what I've seen we're well able to beat these stars people think clans can solely on in a good ammount of games.
Also, anyone expecting WG to be ahead of Lynx is seriously either unawere of Lynx's strengh or WG weakness.
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Clan League 8: Pronostic championships: 6/1/2016 14:20:40 |
The Hound
Level 58
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Edited 6/1/2016 14:29:54
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Clan League 8: Pronostic championships: 6/1/2016 15:50:46 |
Sugoi - すごい
Level 57
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Before: 1.Masters 2. Apex 3. French 4. GG 5. Turtles 6. Lynx 7. WG _______________ After: French 154 Master 148 apex 138 GG 135 Icelandic Turtles 100 Lynx 99 WG 99
This is what I think :P Thanks Chris for the sheet
Edited 6/1/2016 15:56:22
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