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Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/7/2016 23:27:55


TeamGuns
Level 59
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I am not downvoting that post. The world must read what you write so everyone can learn HOW TO NOT speak english.

Edited 9/8/2016 00:20:01
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/8/2016 14:23:12

awesomeusername
Level 60
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Well, if you want more numbers, I've been keeping a computer program updated on our division. It assigns a rating to each team on each template and comes up with probabilities that each team will win each game. As of last update, it looks like this:

Expected # of points:
1 101st    157.0
2 Blitz    153.4
3 VIW      139.4
4 ONE      138.4
5 SNinja   110.1
6 REGL      75.7
7 Stahl     66.1

Chance of winning division:
1 101st     62.7%
2 Blitz     35.1%
3 VIW        1.7%
4 ONE        0.7%

Chance of promoting (top 2):
1 101st     93.3%
2 Blitz     84.7%
3 VIW       12.5%
4 ONE        9.3%

So there's your purely objective percentages. I will say, though, that the program doesn't account for boots or substitutions, so 101st is actually slightly underrated here because the program thinks its Battle Islands and Guiroma teams are bad. It also thinks that ONE's 3v3 teams are all easy wins for the other teams, so whatever the reason for their underperformance, ONE is probably a bit underrated as well.
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/8/2016 17:29:55


(deleted) 
Level 62
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Blitz have a considerably nice point lead ahead of 101st with all the games finished if I can remember right, You guys sure you will not win the division? this will be shown next update.

Would be a nice opportunity to put a poll up maybe based on awesomeusername projections on who will win clan league B :)
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/8/2016 18:10:16

awesomeusername
Level 60
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Those numbers are as of last update; I haven't looked at what's happened since.

But yes, I hope we win. :P

Edited 9/8/2016 18:12:37
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/8/2016 18:43:07


TeamGuns
Level 59
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Interesting statistics awesomeusername, but I really think that there aren't enough games in the CL to give precise ratings, and a few upset wins can make the ratings spike. I would say that this rating is biased towards us in the dispute for the win; Blitz has more chances to win atm than your predictions give.
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/8/2016 19:12:27


(deleted) 
Level 62
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I would really appreciate an update Memele whenever you have free time, I just feel as the division is getting to its fruity parts where very game matters that it could be nice to get more frequent updates , I know 3 games have finished which have huge implications and I think it is cool to have up to date scores.

But you've done a amazing job at updates I'm just being a bit greedy :P
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/8/2016 22:21:49


Waka 
Level 58
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I don't see any new Blitz games finished since last update (China and GL are replacement games) so everything for Blitz is still as it should be on the sheet.

I'm also playing a game on Final Earth right now where the opposing team started with an AI on picking which is the game against REGL (only 101st left to play after they have space in tournament)

After looking over all games i see that there is 1 upcoming win against VIW on ME but that's all Blitz games that are close to finishing right now
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/9/2016 06:31:08


TeamGuns
Level 59
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only 101st left to play after they have space in tournament


Are you talking about FE? Because we are in a game with you guys atm.
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/9/2016 17:13:51


Waka 
Level 58
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I was talking about who REGL still had to play since they have a booted player against us from the beginning
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/9/2016 22:17:29

Memele 
Level 60
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Update:
I was waiting for tomorrow, but if people ask...

B.Islands:
Kevin (stahl) defeated Bonsai (101) by boot (I think he has advantadge anyway but it's argueable).

ME:
101 defeated ONE
Blitz defeated VIW

Europe:
Sninja defeated ONE

G.Lakes:
Sninja defeated ONE
VIW defeated Sninja

Classification:
  Clan    points   Max points    Wins   Losses   Winrate
1º Blitz    120        179        34      18        65.38%
2º VIW      120        156        35      23        60.34%
3º 101      118        180        32      19        62.75%
4º ONE      114        159        34      22        60.71%
5º SNinja    88        136        24      31        43.64%
6º REGL      57        108        17      37        31.48%
7º Stahl     55         90        16      42        27.59%


Edit: corrected the mistakes.

P.S: I didn't even knew about shinobi being booted ._.

Edited 9/10/2016 13:32:22
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/9/2016 22:21:40


Muli 
Level 64
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There are replacement games for Blitz vs ONE and VIW vs ONE in G.Lakes
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/9/2016 23:14:18

Memele 
Level 60
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Corrected that. Nobody told me ._. I looked for the links to check them in future updates.
And the ones in europe too, I just told my teammates.
VIW it's aware of this? (they have a game in both tournaments). And blitz?

Edited 9/9/2016 23:16:35
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/10/2016 00:05:07


Beren Erchamion 
Level 64
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Sorry I didn't post about the replacement games in this thread. I should have. They are posted in the Clan League retirements thread, though.

Edited 9/10/2016 00:05:23
- downvoted post by (deleted)
- downvoted post by (deleted)
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/10/2016 13:33:48

Memele 
Level 60
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I changed the update. I forgot to delete the 2 games in the "finished games list", but I redid the table in my first edit, so that was ok, no points changes.
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/11/2016 09:22:11


KKND
Level 60
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Dont even follow this thread, with these replacements its hard to follow anything
Always feel tired at the finish of Clan Leagues and with replacements its no way good :(

p.s. And THANKS Memele, you do great job :)

Edited 9/11/2016 09:22:41
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/16/2016 20:08:11

Memele 
Level 60
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Update:

Guiroma:
Linberson (Blitz) defeated Kantos (101).
This tournament finished. (the winner was already decided earlier, Metatron).

B.Islands:
memele (REGL) defeated Bonsai (101). It was a boot. The game was very interesting and not decided.
This tournament finished and I won with a 5-1 record.

With this all the 1vs1 finished.


China:
Sninja defeated Stahl

ME:
Sninja defeated Stahl
Stahl defeated REGL

EU:
101 defeated Stahl
101 defeated REGL


G.Lakes:
101 defeated REGL

 Clan    points   Max points    Wins   Losses   Winrate
1º 101      133        174        35      21        62.50%
2º Blitz    123        179        35      18        66.04%
3º VIW      120        156        35      23        60.34%
4º ONE      114        159        34      22        60.71%
5º SNinja    96        136        26      31        45.61%
6º REGL      60         94        18      40        31.03%
7º Stahl     59         77        17      45        27.42%


REGL and Stahl are officially relegated.

Edited 9/16/2016 21:14:02
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/16/2016 20:15:51


farragut 
Level 59
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Thanks for all your hard work on this, Memele. Well done!
Clan League 8 Division B Official Thread: 9/16/2016 20:54:29


(deleted) 
Level 62
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Good game REGL + Stahl, I wish you the best in the new format for CL9.

Will be interesting who finishes ahead ;)
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